Under Italian law, a business is in crisis when it is likely to become insolvent. The test is a precise one. Projected cash flow is not enough to pay the debts falling due over the next twelve months. Accounts that show a profit do not rule this out.
The first signs are behaviours, not numbers. A long-standing supplier asks for payment up front ‘just for this order’. The bank wants more collateral when the credit line comes up for renewal. Customers pay a little later every month. Payments go to whoever pushes hardest.
Waiting for the numbers to confirm it comes at a cost, because every month that passes closes a door. While banks and suppliers are willing to talk, you can work with light, confidential tools. Once court payment orders (decreti ingiuntivi) start arriving, the routes left are slower, more public and more expensive.
The law sets out four warning signs, summarised below. Sources: Legislative Decree 14/2019, the Codice della crisi d’impresa e dell’insolvenza (Italian Business Crisis Code), Article 2(1)(a), Article 3(4) and Article 25-novies. Italian Civil Code (codice civile), Article 2086(2). Current text consulted on Normattiva, Italy’s official legislation database, on 16 September 2026.
Typical scenario
An engineering company’s main customer has been ordering less for a few months. Turnover for the year is holding up and the accounts still show a profit. But payments are coming in later. When the credit line comes up for renewal, the bank asks the shareholders to back it personally, and the steel supplier switches to payment in advance. Every week, the accounts department decides who to pay first.